Archive for January, 2012


Top Stock Picks for 2012

I think 2012 will be an OK year for stock investors.  Politics has a way of keeping things rosy through an election.  I’m fine with that, as long as we all know it we can make some money from it.  I won’t be blindly holding all of my stock investments forever.  However, I don’t see a better place to invest overall than the US stock market this year.   This article will cover my long and short top stock picks for 2012.

My Long Top Stock Pick

My top stock pick for 2012 is Pepsi (PEP).  It’s one of those staples that will plow right through a bad economy.  It’s not going out of business, it’s sales won’t dry up to nothing if things stay rough, it can be afforded on a unemployment check budget, and most importantly it has a 3.2% dividend yield right now while I wait for appreciation.  Beat that 30 year treasury yield (what crazy times we live in.)  Look at the chart for Pepsi:

 

Top Stock Picks 2012 Long

Pepsi (PEP) Jan 2012

Even in rough times Pepsi is a cash producer, dividend yielding, and has upside potential.  I’m even a Coke (KO) drinker personally, but I have to choose Pepsi for my stock of choice right now. It’s been a fairly tight trading range for awhile now, so I wouldn’t worry about timining too much because the yield justifies the time.

Top Stock Picks 2012 Short

My top stock pick that is a short play is Union Pacific (UNP).  This is my speculative play.  I have a feeling the oil line from Canada will get through.  As the election moves forward energy independence will be a hot topic and this will push for more drilling which will push lower oil prices which has been UNP (railways) best friend.  This stock has historically grown at around 9%, but has been on a trajectory more like 12% recently.  It doesn’t have the types of earning growth potential that a new hot tech stock does and I don’t believe it deserves this valuation.  If the stock price turns and the 50 day crosses back under the 200 day moving average I would short UNP.

Short Top Stock Picks 2012

UNP Jan 2012

Those are my two big choices at the beginning of investing year 2012. I certainly don’t recommend just having two stocks in a portfolio, these are intended to be talking points on my thoughts on investing this year.  However, it will be fun to look back this time next year and see how I did.

I’m trying to get the value back into Easy Learn Stock Market this year.  If you have any comments or questions feel free to contact me or comment on this page.

You have seen millions of articles online about “why you need to pay off debt” or “27,000 painful tips to save money so you can pay down debt.”  In fact I wrote more than a few of those.  That is not the purpose of this article.  Today, I want to talk about how to pay off debt in a planned fashion to optimize returns, success, and general day to day headaches.

Let’s take a scenario that isn’t too unreal for many of us.  It may be better or worse than your current situation, but you’ll be able to follow along.  You need to start by listing all of your debts.  Not just the ones you’re current on, but every single debt you own (family, medical, long stopped calling you because it’s been years, rent, food, gas, all of them.)  Also, next to each item list the amount owed, monthly required payment, interest rate, and current or not current.

Here is our imaginary list:

how to pay off debt example

Before we start any of the how to pay off debt conversations there is a corollary to any of the strategies.  If you can’t keep you current bills current without borrowing more money you don’t need to worry about paying down debt, you have a income situation.  In this mode you must organize your bills by life priority.  Generally this is food, shelter, power, car/gas (to get to work with), basic communication and so on.  You can organize for your lifestyle, but don’t miss this step.  If you’re short on money professional debt collectors will pressure you to make bad financial decisions.  Just pay down the list until you run out of money and that is all you can do.  Don’t stress beyond that other than earning more income.  Your life will get very stressful if you skip necessities to pay those who yell the loudest.  Now on to the debt paying strategies.

How to Pay Off Debt Classically

Classic financial advice would tell you to pay down your debts highest fee/interest rates first.  This means keeping everything current unless there is no fees associated with it (this would include stiffing family/friends who don’t have a contract with you) and then pay extra on the highest interest rate.  Mathematically this is absolutely correct.  I won’t bore you with an analysis of the debts above, but it would tell you to pay off credit card 3 first, then credit card 2 and so on.  If you stick to this plan you will pay off everything the fastest for the least amount of money.  The problem with this plan is the “if”.  It’s the hardest to stick to because you’ll be waking up sleeping giants of defunct credit who will get on you again now that they know you are alive, there’s not quick wins that people tend to require to stick with something, and there is no morality decisions in the planning, just cold hard numbers.

How to Pay Off Debt using the Dave Ramsey Debt Snowball

This method, made famous in The Total Money Makeover, is to simply list your debts from smallest total owed, to most total owed, ignore the defunct one for now, and then pay off the balances as you can while keeping everything else current.  In this method you would pay Medical Bill 1, then Credit Card 1 and so on.  The good part about this method is you get quick wins (Yay I have one less bill!), but it will take you longer, and it takes good logic out of your choices sometimes.

How to Pay off Debt Using my Logic

The first thing I do is check my morals.  Professional lending companies understand there are risks lending to people so if I can’t pay I don’t feel bad about not paying them (for now.)  However, family, friends, child support, alimony, medical bills are not lending companies so I do all I can to make those commitments first.  Then I hit the financial institutions with remaining cash I have in my budget.

Long ago I got over what people think so I’m not afraid to shake up old creditors to negotiate with them.  If you get very stressed from negotiating with people skip this step and move to the last step of my plan.   In this step I call up my old debts and offer to deal with them.  If they are willing to wipe out much of the fees on fees they add when things go defunct (often 2 to 3 times the natural debt) then I’ll pay them off for the “deal”.  If they won’t deal or I don’t have enough money for them to make a deal I politely tell them I will call them back next time I have money and ignore them until then.  I also let them know exactly how much I have to deal with and if they don’t deal I will call my next creditor.  They know someone will take that money and they want to be it.  It’s amazing how well it works, just make sure to get the deal in writing.  They will lie to you.

After the negotiation phase I look through my debts to see what will improve cash flow.  For me I feel a win when bills aren’t sucking away as much of my income.  So I look at the bills I have and see if I can pay any of them off to get rid of the payment (perhaps the low medical bill or smaller credit card.)  If I can’t the next choice is to pay on something that has a payment that changes with balance.  That means I would pay a partial on a credit card (maybe dropping the payment $10 or $15 per month) instead of paying on the car or defunct debt that doesn’t affect my monthly bills due.  After doing this for a few months you’ll feel the pressure coming off your shoulders as you required bills shrink.  It is a rewarding feeling.

Overall personal finance is personal.  Any of the above methods will eventually get you out of debt, but no method works that you can’t stick with.  Knowing who you are and working with it is the best step in learning how to pay off debt.

Every one of us wants to buy a huge comfortable house in Charlotte NC. However, most of us will eventually have to compromise with our dream due to the lack of substantial money. None of the house owners will agree to sell their houses for marginal profit rates. Thus, uncompromising sellers are one of the biggest worries for the first time house buyers. However, if you are still looking to buy a decent dwelling, all you need to do is contact a Charlotte NC foreclosure firm and enquire about their potential auctioning properties.

Whenever a debtor forgoes to pay his or her loan payments, the property falls into the category of foreclosure, which means that the lender is the owner of that property. If the lender isn’t interested in keeping that asset, then he/she will host an auction for the public. Foreclosures always get sold for discounted prices as creditors are only concerned about their depth clearance.

Investors will be waiting for people who will offer them a reasonably good price for the foreclosure. Hence, first time home buyers should target such investors and seek information regarding the ongoing and future house sales. Most foreclosure auctions in Charlotte NC are conducted by banks, which in a way is a boon for house buyers. Banks don’t encourage piling of foreclosures; their sole concern is to vend the house and clear the mortgage.

Though the price looks tempting, it is advised against investing into the property until you check the constructional aspects of the property. Do not invest on Charlotte NC foreclosures that need renovation or repair works. Approach a property appraisal professional to assess the actual value of the auctioned asset. Check for loopholes in the property and mention them during the negotiation process. Doing so will ensure that you don’t end up spending much on your home.